Werewolf Game (Signups Closed)

[Citizen]

well to be fair there was no effort to defend her actions. Poor Grace...so sad.

Anyway... I'm probably in the cross-hairs now regardless so I'ma play my trump card, lets have some fun.

@jas, @Citizen, I'ma kill one of you in this next phase, please convince me you aren't a wolf.

Habeas corpus, ya feel me.

[Jas]

well to be fair there was no effort to defend her actions. Poor Grace...so sad.

Anyway... I'm probably in the cross-hairs now regardless so I'ma play my trump card, lets have some fun.

@jas, @Citizen, I'ma kill one of you in this next phase, please convince me you aren't a wolf.

Habeas corpus, ya feel me.

you and your Latin.

[Pixiedora]

Glad I changed my vote then, not that it made a difference

[GraceMellody]

When you didn't defend yourself it made me more suspicious. But my initial reason for voting you was just a random hunch.

I missed the mention or else i'd have come and cried D:

[weeabooweegee]

well to be fair there was no effort to defend her actions. Poor Grace...so sad.

Anyway... I'm probably in the cross-hairs now regardless so I'ma play my trump card, lets have some fun.

@jas, @Citizen, I'ma kill one of you in this next phase, please convince me you aren't a wolf.

Habeas corpus, ya feel me.

You speaking latin bruh?

[Citizen]

Semper fudge, man.

[Smileymaniak]

I don't have time for a fair trial or this so called innocence business. This is war!

Convince me to kill one of you, or you know someone else, cus that's always fun too.

[weeabooweegee]

I don't have time for a fair trial or this so called innocence business. This is war!

Convince me to kill one of you, or you know someone else, cus that's always fun too.

i'm feeling very scared...

[Citizen]

I don't have time for a fair trial or this so called innocence business. This is war!

Convince me to kill one of you, or you know someone else, cus that's always fun too.

You should probably

kill a wolf.

Unless you're a wolf.

Then you should probably

kill a villager.

[Citizen]

Unless you're Wolf Blitzer.

Then the only option is to kill your career.

[Jas]

Well statistically it's far more likely that at least one of any given pair is a wolf.

After this next night phase, when we can assume a villager will die, there will be a population of 7, with 3 wolves. Then the probability of any singular person is a wolf is 3/7.

The probability a wolf is in a given pair is then 1-(4/7*3/6)=5/7, whereas the probability that it is neither of them is 2/7.

That said, the probability of either of the pair being a wolf, given that one of the pair is a wolf, is 5/14, or (improperly, for comparison) 2.5/7

It's still a better choice to pick one of the pair at 2.5/7 than it is to pick anyone else.

So either citi or I will probs die tomorrow That is, if the wolves don't eat me first. But if I die, 100% lynch citi.

[Smileymaniak]

what if you don't die? 100% lynch you?

[Jas]

Nope, then make an informed decision.

I don't even know why I'm one of your prime suspects. That was never clear to me.

[Citizen]

Jas piddled on the floor he may be a willf.

[Tanya]

End Game Phase Commences

Werewolves eat Beex, a villager. Vigilante kills Citizen, the Guardian.
Werewolves win!

Active Players

• Master Wolf
  
• Werewolf 2
  
• Seer
  
• Vigilante
  
• Villagers 1

Players

• Arya Villager
  
• Beex Villager
  
• Citizen Guardian
  
• GraceMellody Villager
  
• graciettie Villager
  
• H03nn89 Werewolf
  
• Jas Werewolf
  
• LikkleMel Villager
  
• Pirate TimeLord Seer
  
• Pixiedora Villager
  
• Smileymaniak Vigilante
  
• weabooweegee Master Wolf

Mentions

  Spoiler:  

@Arya
@Beex
@Citizen
@LikkleMel
@Jas
@weabooweegee
@graciettie
@GraceMellody
@Smileymaniak
@Pixiedora
@H03nn89
@Pirate TimeLord